Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 129.65
Price - 52 Week High: 132.73
Price - 52 Week Low: 74.58
Price Date (Latest): 10/17/19
Median Price Target: 147.00
Diff from Prev Close: 17.35
% Difference: 13.38

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 3.39
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.54
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 33.82
Yield (%): 0.42

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.87 5.14 4.61 4.87 2 1 -- -4.75
Annual 12/1/20 3.91 3.92 3.90 3.91 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.72 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 1 -- 1 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.64 1 -- 1 -0.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.53 0.65 0.41 0.53 2 -- 1 -2.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 -0.02 0.11 -0.15 -0.02 2 -- 1 -233.33

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.39 4.35 -22.16
Annual 12/1/17 2.34 2.35 -0.61
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 1.85 -2.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.66 2.81 -5.42
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.29 0.40 -27.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.20 0.14 45.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.35 0.49 -29.02

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21.52 21.52 21.52 21.52 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 16.85 16.85 16.85 16.85 1 -- 1 -9.80
Annual 12/1/19 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 1 -- 1 -7.43

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 11.72 12.54 -6.51
Annual 12/1/17 13.86 13.35 3.79
Annual 12/1/16 13.84 14.03 -1.34

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.75
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10.47 10.47 10.47 10.47 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 8.34 9.60 7.07 8.34 2 1 -- 0.85
Annual 12/1/19 6.51 8.78 4.23 6.51 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.75 5.97 -20.44

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 0.44 0.41 8.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.63 -- 1,630.00
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 188.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 278.10 290.00 266.20 278.10 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 242.60 260.00 225.20 242.60 2 1 1 -1.00
Annual 12/1/19 226.25 248.00 204.50 226.25 2 -- 1 -5.39
Quarterly 3/1/20 14.60 14.60 14.60 14.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 151.70 151.70 151.70 151.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 33.35 44.00 22.70 33.35 2 1 1 -14.27
Quarterly 12/1/19 8.65 20.00 -2.70 8.65 2 -- 1 -44.37

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 188.80 233.07 -18.99
Annual 12/1/17 172.10 193.90 -11.24
Annual 12/1/16 170.50 205.45 -17.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 156.40 158.93 -1.59
Quarterly 3/1/19 28.00 34.50 -18.84
Quarterly 12/1/18 12.00 16.90 -28.99
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.50 37.27 -44.99

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 328.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 543.33 558.00 526.00 546.00 3 2 -- 0.59
Annual 12/1/20 507.93 512.80 503.00 508.00 3 2 1 1.07
Annual 12/1/19 457.13 464.00 453.40 454.00 3 1 1 -0.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 91.30 92.00 90.60 91.30 2 -- -- 0.77
Quarterly 6/1/20 222.75 224.00 221.50 222.75 2 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 95.30 99.00 90.90 96.00 3 1 1 0.07
Quarterly 12/1/19 71.97 75.00 68.00 72.90 3 -- 1 -1.51

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 328.80 329.77 -0.29
Annual 12/1/17 366.50 362.83 1.01
Annual 12/1/16 279.10 341.38 -18.24
Quarterly 6/1/19 177.90 214.00 -16.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 74.60 63.30 17.85
Quarterly 12/1/18 43.00 43.07 -0.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 62.10 62.23 -0.21

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.61 4.61 4.61 4.61 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 4.07 4.24 3.90 4.07 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.72 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.65 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.12 2 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.93 2.30 27.17
Annual 12/1/16 2.14 1.78 20.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.66 2.81 -5.45
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.29 0.41 -29.27
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.28 0.19 47.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.37 0.56 145.24

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 751.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,086.20 1,221.30 951.10 1,086.20 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1,422.45 1,612.90 1,232.00 1,422.45 2 1 1 25.55
Annual 12/1/19 1,587.35 1,830.20 1,344.50 1,587.35 2 1 1 23.08
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,330.20 1,330.20 1,330.20 1,330.20 1 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,344.50 1,344.50 1,344.50 1,344.50 1 -- 1 -0.01

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 751.00 742.20 1.19
Annual 12/1/17 1,077.50 1,087.63 -0.93
Annual 12/1/16 278.30 866.40 -67.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,271.80 1,251.60 1.61
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,355.10 1,364.30 -0.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 751.00 742.00 1.21
Quarterly 9/1/18 753.80 673.30 11.96

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 139.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 198.15 208.30 188.00 198.15 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 159.00 159.00 159.00 159.00 2 -- 2 -3.72
Annual 12/1/19 151.10 151.10 151.10 151.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 21.75 27.00 16.50 21.75 2 -- 2 -19.44
Quarterly 12/1/19 -0.55 5.00 -6.10 -0.55 2 -- 2 -111.34

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 139.89 170.27 -17.84
Annual 12/1/17 112.20 109.00 2.94
Annual 12/1/16 91.03 94.60 -3.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 107.10 114.27 -6.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 11.60 16.87 -31.23
Quarterly 12/1/18 8.16 5.73 24.28
Quarterly 9/1/18 14.43 20.30 -28.92

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.60 23.90 23.30 23.60 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 24.40 25.50 23.30 24.40 2 -- -- 28.42
Annual 12/1/19 29.20 33.00 25.40 29.20 2 -- -- 28.92
Quarterly 9/1/19 14.25 25.50 3.00 14.25 2 -- -- -44.12
Quarterly 12/1/19 11.10 23.30 -1.10 11.10 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.12 21.50 3.62
Annual 12/1/17 16.93 14.10 2.83
Annual 12/1/16 13.98 13.55 0.43

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,009.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,475.38 1,501.14 1,443.00 1,482.00 3 1 1 -0.78
Annual 12/1/20 1,384.80 1,398.00 1,371.39 1,385.00 3 2 1 1.01
Annual 12/1/19 1,308.21 1,320.00 1,284.63 1,320.00 3 -- 2 -0.24
Quarterly 3/1/20 264.73 264.73 264.73 264.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 484.43 484.43 484.43 484.43 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 299.94 310.00 291.82 298.00 3 1 1 -0.76
Quarterly 12/1/19 265.87 278.60 250.00 269.00 3 -- 1 -0.13

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,009.00 1,008.67 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 1,348.60 1,307.58 3.14
Annual 12/1/16 1,308.60 1,315.00 -0.49
Quarterly 6/1/19 477.40 469.99 1.58
Quarterly 3/1/19 265.40 250.58 5.91
Quarterly 12/1/18 219.00 218.67 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 221.30 208.88 5.95

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 38.25 34.85 33.15

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -14.58 5.13 24.60

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