Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 95.26
Price - 52 Week High: 103.30
Price - 52 Week Low: 74.58
Price Date (Latest): 5/23/19
Median Price Target: 109.00
Diff from Prev Close: 13.74
% Difference: 14.42

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.33

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 3.39
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.54
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 33.82
Yield (%): 0.57

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.10 5.75 4.22 5.33 3 3 -- 7.86
Annual 12/1/19 4.30 4.84 3.99 4.07 3 2 -- 2.51
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 1 -- 1 -15.54
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.97 3.20 2.85 2.85 3 2 -- 2.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.80 1.10 0.63 0.67 3 2 -- 16.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.21 0.24 0.18 0.20 3 1 1 -7.15

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.39 4.35 -22.16
Annual 12/1/17 2.34 2.35 -0.61
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 1.85 -2.67
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.29 0.40 -27.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.20 0.14 45.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.35 0.49 -29.02
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.52 2.48 1.76

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.59 21.59 21.59 21.59 1 1 -- 5.42
Annual 12/1/19 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 1 -- 1 -0.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 17.41 17.41 17.41 17.41 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 11.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 13.86 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.84 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.75
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.18 9.28 7.07 8.18 2 -- 1 -7.31
Annual 12/1/19 6.77 9.31 4.23 6.77 2 1 -- 6.11

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.75 5.97 -20.44

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 1 1 -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 1 1 -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 0.44 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.63 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 188.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 293.37 346.50 266.60 267.00 3 1 2 -5.45
Annual 12/1/19 268.50 298.80 247.70 259.00 3 1 2 -6.02
Quarterly 6/1/19 167.53 176.30 162.30 164.00 3 1 2 -2.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 50.03 55.30 45.00 49.80 3 2 1 -3.22
Quarterly 12/1/19 21.60 35.10 7.70 22.00 3 1 2 -24.30

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 188.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 172.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 170.50 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 28.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 12.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 136.60 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 328.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 489.77 495.80 484.50 489.00 3 3 -- 7.59
Annual 12/1/19 455.30 469.00 444.80 452.10 3 3 -- 8.65
Quarterly 3/1/20 78.60 78.60 78.60 78.60 1 1 -- 2.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 213.73 217.00 211.00 213.20 3 3 -- 4.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 93.37 100.00 89.80 90.30 3 3 -- 9.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 73.53 77.00 69.60 74.00 3 3 -- 13.24

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 328.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 366.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 279.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 48.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 43.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 62.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 174.50 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.99 5.75 4.22 4.99 2 1 -- 20.70
Annual 12/1/19 4.42 4.84 3.99 4.42 2 1 -- 13.79
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.03 3.20 2.85 3.03 2 1 -- 9.60
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.89 1.10 0.67 0.89 2 1 -- 45.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.21 0.24 0.18 0.21 2 1 -- 90.91

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.14 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.29 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.28 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.37 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.52 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 751.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,070.00 1,125.50 1,014.50 1,070.00 2 1 1 23.59
Annual 12/1/19 1,291.15 1,340.10 1,242.20 1,291.15 2 1 1 56.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,243.50 1,243.50 1,243.50 1,243.50 1 1 -- 0.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,234.10 1,234.10 1,234.10 1,234.10 1 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 12/1/19 827.25 1,242.20 412.30 827.25 2 -- 1 -0.02

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 751.00 742.20 1.19
Annual 12/1/17 1,077.50 1,087.63 -0.93
Annual 12/1/16 278.30 866.40 -67.88
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,355.10 1,364.30 -0.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 751.00 742.00 1.21
Quarterly 9/1/18 753.80 673.30 11.96
Quarterly 6/1/18 631.10 632.90 -0.28

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 139.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 206.60 232.60 171.00 216.20 3 3 -- 14.71
Annual 12/1/19 180.23 196.40 162.00 182.30 3 3 -- 8.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 123.03 129.90 116.00 123.20 3 3 -- 6.55
Quarterly 9/1/19 34.37 44.80 27.00 31.30 3 3 -- 26.97
Quarterly 12/1/19 11.23 15.90 8.00 9.80 3 2 -- 54.59

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 139.89 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 112.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 91.03 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 11.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 8.16 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 14.43 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 103.20 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 256.90 256.90 256.90 256.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 244.40 244.40 244.40 244.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 158.10 158.10 158.10 158.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 40.90 40.90 40.90 40.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.30 26.20 16.40 21.30 2 -- -- 9.79
Annual 12/1/19 24.00 33.10 14.90 24.00 2 -- -- 12.15

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 16.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.98 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,009.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,338.17 1,416.00 1,242.50 1,356.00 3 2 -- 1.74
Annual 12/1/19 1,320.47 1,330.00 1,311.00 1,320.40 3 3 -- 5.32
Quarterly 3/1/20 268.48 268.48 268.48 268.48 1 -- 1 -0.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 475.60 482.00 466.00 478.81 3 3 -- 3.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 308.86 316.58 300.00 310.00 3 3 -- 7.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 270.87 280.00 259.61 273.00 3 2 1 6.57

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,009.00 1,008.67 0.03
Annual 12/1/17 1,348.60 1,307.58 3.14
Annual 12/1/16 1,308.60 1,315.00 -0.49
Quarterly 3/1/19 265.40 250.58 5.91
Quarterly 12/1/18 219.00 218.67 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 221.30 208.88 5.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 379.40 371.29 2.18

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.10 22.16 18.68

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -1.29 18.66

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